PAC 12 - Rematches, rematches, rematches! Just two weeks after getting annihilated by Utah, Oregon finds itself in a rematch against the Utes for the PAC-12 title....and what is on the line for Oregon? A Duck win would very likely set up another rematch in the Rose Bowl...Oregon vs. Ohio State...I know most of us tend to ignore the PAC-12, but I find the idea that a rematch game could lead to another rematch game kind of interesting... SEC - Well, what do you know...It's Alabama and Georgia, AGAIN. Depending on who wins, we could see two SEC teams in the CFP, AGAIN...It's okay if you are feeling a little bit of deja vu here... BIG XII - Why is Cincinnati's hold on the #4 spot in the CFP tenuous? Because Oklahoma State is breathing right down their neck, and finish out their season against a much better opponent. Baylor is #9, while Cincinnati's opponent, Houston, is only ranked #21. While Oklahoma State is 11-1, with another win over Baylor, Oklahoma State would easily win any strength of schedule debate with Cincy. If Cincinnati doesn't absolutely blow out Houston, Oklahoma State could jump them with a strong game against Baylor. Remember, when it comes to Conference Championship weekend, the entire country is watching...you absolutely want to give the CFP selection committee a strong statement game to consider...and Oklahoma State/Baylor, #5 vs #9, is a much stronger statement game than #4 vs. #21 is. ACC - Who cares? There is literally nothing on the line. Big Ten - This is an important statement game for the Wolverines. All they have been hearing for years from Buckeye and Spartan fans is how "Harbaugh can't beat Ohio State! Harbaugh has never been to the Big Ten Championship game! Harbaugh can't take Michigan to the CFP!"...they beat Ohio State. With a win over Iowa, the Michigan Wolverines will be Big Ten Champions, and will be one of the 4 teams playing for the National Championship in January. So, who will be in the college football playoff? GUARANTEED #1 Georgia. As long as they aren't blown out, It doesn't really matter if Alabama beats them in the SEC title game. This is a #1 vs. #3, the lowest Georgia would fall in a loss would be #4, but realistically, if Alabama beats them, they simply swap rankings, with Alabama taking over #1, and Georgia dropping to #3. Either way, the Georgia Bulldogs are going to be one of the four teams playing in the College Football Playoffs. WIN, AND YOU ARE IN #2 Michigan, #3 Alabama. Obvious. A 12-1 Big Ten Champ and a 12-1 SEC Champ are in, there are no serious arguments to be made to exclude either team if they win this weekend. IT DEPENDS #4 Cincinnati/#5 Oklahoma State. I lump these two teams together, because I believe the distance between the #4 Bearcats and #5 Cowboys is a lot closer than people think. Cincinnati is undefeated, playing a weak schedule. Oklahoma State has the potential to make a much bigger statement, based on who each team's opponent is. I've made no bones about the fact that I believe Cincinnati is a pretender, not a contender, and this weekend is one of the reasons why. #9 Baylor >>> #21 Houston as a Conference title game opponent. I am not convinced that a 13-0 Cincinnati team gets the nod over a 12-1 Oklahoma State team that played much stronger competition. It's going to depend on how each team does in their respective title games. If Cincy whips Houston, okay, fair enough. But if Cincinnati struggles, and OSU wins convincingly, I can see the committee taking OSU over them. Cincinnati fans should really root for Michigan, Alabama or Oklahoma State to lose to solidify their spot. They only need one of them to be eliminated from contention. NEEDS HELP. #6 Notre Dame. As much as we want to ignore the Irish, fact is, we can't quite eliminate them from CFP contention just yet. They need a lot of help, but, Notre Dame could still find themselves with an argument for inclusion into the CFP if Michigan/Alabama/Cincinnati/Oklahoma State (pick 2) lose. If two of those four teams stumble this weekend, the Irish could find themselves in the top 4 afterall.. OUT - Everyone else. I don't see a pathway for any other teams after #6 Notre Dame to make it, regardless of who wins and loses.
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