1. LSU
2. Ohio State 3. Clemson 4. Georgia 5. Alabama 6. Oregon 7. Utah 8. Minnesota 9. Penn State 10. Oklahoma 11. Florida 12. Auburn 13. Baylor 14. Wisconsin 15. Michigan 16. Notre Dame 17. Cincinnati 18. Memphis 19. Texas 20. Iowa 21. Boise State 22. Oklahoma State 23. Navy 24. Kansas State 25. Appalachian State Officially, the CFP Selection Committee isn't supposed to look ahead, and rank teams solely on what they have done so far. That doesn't stop us from analyzing the potential future though...So with that said, if this current set of rankings, assuming everyone at the top continues to win, there are going to be a lot of angry people. Why? Georgia at #4, Alabama at #5. Barring upsets, LSU and Georgia will be the two participants in the SEC Championship game. So, by the end, LSU will either be 12-1, or Georgia will be 11-2. If Georgia loses, they won't maintain their spot at #4, and Alabama will move up...Given the fact that the CFP Selection Committee only dropped Alabama to 5th after losing at home to LSU, I think we can also infer that if LSU somehow loses to Georgia in the SEC Championship, that LSU isn't likely to drop below Alabama, who they beat on their own field. That is, if LSU finishes 12-1, LSU won't drop any lower than #4. That means, the way the CFP currently has the board set up, There will be two SEC teams in the College Football Playoff. It will either be 13-0 LSU and 11-1 Alabama, or it will be 12-1 LSU and 12-1 Georgia. That means 12-1 Oregon? 12-1 Oklahoma? Sorry. You are out, despite being Power 5 Conference champions. The rankings right now, are telling you that even as a potential Conference champion, you won't get in ahead of a non-Conference winning SEC team, whether it's LSU or Alabama, despite having the same record. The CFP Selection Committee has realistically given us two possible outcomes: 1. 13-0 LSU 2. 13-0 Ohio State 3. 13-0 Clemson 4. 11-1 Alabama (Georgia loses SEC Title game) OR 1. 13-0 Ohio State 2. 13-0 Clemson 3. 12-1 Georgia 4. 12-1 LSU (Georgia wins SEC Title game) Barring some major upsets, they didn't leave room for anyone else. The only real chance OU or Oregon have, is for Clemson to somehow lose in the ACC title game or before, and for Penn State, Michigan, or the B1G West Champ to give Ohio State a loss (even then, if it's an undefeated Minnesota team that gives the Buckeyes the loss, that might put THEM in the CFP). Fact is, Oregon and Oklahoma don't control their own destinies. Both need help to have any chance at getting in, based on the way the CFP is ranking them.
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